Score your top open deals on the five things that separate a forecast from a wish. The two that decide it: a quantified Impact and a real Urgency. Miss either and the deal slips.
Rate each deal honestly. Nothing is stored. The committed number computes from your own ratings.
Your weakest dimension is Urgency. That’s a team habit, not a one-deal problem. Find the deadline or trigger. No compelling event, no close date you can trust.